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Environmental impacts of consumption and production in Switzerland:

Environmentally extended input-output-analysis

17th SETAC Europe LCA Symposium Budapest, 28. February 2011

Dr. Niels Jungbluth

ESU-services Ltd., Uster, Switzerland

U

E S S U

E

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www.esu-services.ch

Page 2

Outline

• Project goals

• Methodology

• Results

– policy recommendations – methodological issues

• Outlook (possibilities for updates)

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Page 3

Project Goals

• Develop a method for comprehensive analysis of

environmental pressures in Switzerland (pilot project) – A production and consumption perspective

– All relevant environmental issues – Combination of EE-IOA and LCA

• Set up a data base for analysis with reference year 2005

• Provision as SimaPro data for further analysis

• Identify important areas of consumption and production

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Two perspectives on environmental impacts

www.esu-services.ch

Page 4

Production perspective

induced by:

Domestic final demand

Exports

Domestic environ- mental impacts

Environmental impacts abroad

Consumption perspective

induced by:

Domestic final demand

Exports

Domestic environ- mental impacts

Environmental impacts abroad

Source: Rütter+Partner

Production perspective takes the view of direct impacts in a country

Consumption perspective investigates the impacts due to national consumption

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Page 5

Combination of methods and data

IOT

domestic intermediate inputs (CHF/CHF)

direct emissions (kg/CHF)

IOT imported intermediate inputs (CHF/CHF)

imported goods (kg/CHF)

foreign trade statistic imports per sector

(kg/a)

LCA database cumulative emissions

(kg/kg)

IOT

final demand (CHF/a) direct emissions

(kg/a)

imported goods (kg/a)

total consumption (emissions/a)

total exports (emissions/a)

total production (emissions/a)

Several data sources are combined for the analysis

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www.esu-services.ch

Page 6

Production perspective

Primary sector most important for domestic emissions

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Total balance

Page 7

Imports cause 60% of environmental impacts due to Swiss consumption

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www.esu-services.ch

Page 8

Consumption perspective

Nutrition and mobility most intensive per money spent

40% of the environmental pressure due to nutrition occurs abroad

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Page 9

Different indicators on household consumption

Energy and GHG indicators underestimate the contribution of nutrition

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www.esu-services.ch

Page 10

Verification by comparison with LCA data

Uncertainties estimated in the range of 20-30%

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Page 11

Setting targets

40% to 60% reduction of total impacts is necessary

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Conclusions

• The combination of LCA and IOT provides a good

possibility for investigating environmental impacts of consumption

• Imports to Switzerland account for 60% of environmental impacts

• Consumption of food accounts for 30% of total impact

• Considerable reductions of environmental impacts are necessary

www.esu-services.ch

Page 12

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Page 13

Outlook

• Ten principal data sources and steps of analysis can be refined with three different goals:

– Better verification of the results in LCA and EE-IOA with additional or alternative

approaches

– Improve the data for 2005 for known shortcomings

– Update for a new reference year

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Acknowledgements

• This study has been elaborated in collaboration with Dr. Carsten Nathani

• We thank the Swiss Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN) for financing this study

• Here we present our personal viewpoint and not this of the FOEN

www.esu-services.ch

Page 14

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Annexe

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www.esu-services.ch

Page 16

Two approaches for the total balance

0.00E+00 2.00E+13 4.00E+13 6.00E+13 8.00E+13 1.00E+14 1.20E+14 1.40E+14 1.60E+14 1.80E+14

emissions, residence

principle

import, goods import, services

exports consumption emissions, territorial

principle

import, goods export, goods

consumption

eco-points 2006 by Switzerland in 2005

Emission into air Pt Emission into surface water Pt Emission into ground water Pt Emission into top soil Pt Energy resources Pt Natural resources Pt Deposited waste Pt

EE-IOT LCA and trade balance

Differences for imports and exports important for total balance

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Page 17

Comparison of exports

- 10 20 30 40 50 60

LCA&trade EE-IOT

MM tonnes CO2-eq per year

Food, beverages, tobacco Other biomass products Chemicals and chemical products Metals and minerals

Manufactured goods Electricity and energy Services

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www.esu-services.ch

Page 18

Higher exports in calculation with IOT

• Underestimation of exporting fine chemicals in LCA

approach. High prices? Better LCA data for chemical industry in CH

• Underestimation of service export because not included in trade balance

• Underestimation of electricity exports in IOT

(only 1/3) Re-exports underestimated. Disaggregation in IOT would be necessary.

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