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Analysis about Hungary’s attractiveness to investors with particular regard to FDI

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(1)

Analysis about Hungary’s

attractiveness to investors with particular regard to FDI

Szeged, PhD Workshop, 25.04.2013 Adrienn Tarró

András Krámli

(2)

Questions or the way of approaching

• How can we measure Hungary's ability to attract capital?

• How can we determine Hungary’s position compared to the Videgrad countries?

• What must a country do in order to attract capital?

(3)

Explanatory theories

• Porter- diamond model for countries

• OLI paradigm

• Dunning’s Eclectic Theory

• Advanced factors of location

(4)

Overall Competitiveness Ranking in Visegrad countries (2006-2012)

Source: IMD World Competitiveness Online

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Slovak Republic

(5)

Economic Performance Ranks in Visegrad countries (2006-2012)

Source: IMD World Competitiveness Online

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Slovak Republic

(6)

All indicators ranking of Hungary

Indicators Ranking 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Overall Competitiveness 38 45 42 47 45

Economic Performance 39 33 40 44 35

Government Efficiency 47 50 51 52 51

Business Efficiency 45 52 47 50 49

Infrastructure 27 33 35 35 35

Source: IMD World Competitiveness Online

(7)

Competitiveness Landscape of Hungary

Source: World Economic Forum: World Competitiveness Online

(8)

Figure 6: FDI stock in per cent of GDP in Visegrad countries (2007-2011)

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Czech Republic

Hungary*

Poland

Slovak Republic

*Hungary: Data excluding Special Purpose Entities Source: OECD

(9)

GDP per hour worked as % of USA (USA=100%, 2011)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Czech Republic Greece Hungary Poland Slovak Republic Slovenia

GDP per hour

worked as % of USA

(USA=100)

Source: OECD Statistic

(10)

Labour productivity growth in the total economy

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Czech Republic

Greece

Hungary

Poland

Slovak Republic

(11)

Average monthly gross earnings in US $, 2011

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Source: www.databasece.com

(12)

Prospects for 2013

(13)

Conclusion

• Competitiveness, economic performance or FDI stock relatively high

• Tendencies?

• Not in a significantly different position

• Competitiveness via lower wages

(14)

THANKS FOR YOUR

ATTENTION!

Ábra

Figure 6: FDI stock in per cent of GDP in Visegrad  countries (2007-2011)  2030405060708090 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Czech RepublicHungary*Poland Slovak Republic

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