The prisoners' dilemma,
congestion games and correlation
by Ferenc Forgó
C O R VI N U S E C O N O M IC S W O R K IN G P A PE R S
http://unipub.lib.uni-corvinus.hu/2187
CEWP 7 /201 6
!
" #
$ % &' ( # ) % ( *
+ & & & , & %
# # - - . & / & 0
0 #1 ( $2 3 # & 4 & / & 0 ' 3
- &( 5 & + & + 6 ' 6% * %
7 8 & & ( 9 #
0 : & & 8 - # %
# &2% # ( ; / &
& n% , & # -
& / & 0 0 & (
# & , & # & ∞,
& 2( 9 & & & 0& , & # (
, & # # & / & 0%
& &
<2 !
9 , & 0 # # 0= #
& & & ( ;
& # ( 9 # & :
0 & 0= & # &%
4 : ( 9 0
# - & 0 -
- 8 0 && & %
# && $ && # *( 9 &
& & - & 0 # & 4 & & #
# (
7 0 0 0& %
& : $ (#( && - # # > &&
/ & 0 : # *( ; # & # &
# 3 $ <?* / & 0 :
# @ % 7 ( 9 , & -
# & ' & 7 & &
2% , & ( 9 # & 4 3 ,
& 0 5 & A & $ < * B & %
B & & B- . & B & && # / & 0
7 , & , & 0
# - - . & - & & & ( 3 # %
& 4 & & & B & / & 0 B
0 #1 $2 * - - - 0 0& @ % 7
(
3 - && 0 # &
# # & & - , & # ( 9 0
/ && # # 8
8 . & 0 0 # 0 , &
# ( ; & & & %
> 3 & # &( $2 * 0 &
, & # ( C - && - &
& / & 0 & n% , & # $
> 0 " 0 # <!* ∞ - & # 0 K
> n% , & # -
& - & 0& 0 & K%
& - & / 7 / & 0 ( 9 &
& 2 ( ( 0 & : & - &
0 2% & - & & ( C
# & 0& n% # ( + & - & >
8 $ & * & (
9 # 4 && - ( + 2 & & %
0& 0 - & & # &
# # ( ; + 3 -
& & / & 0 & & & # #
, & # ( + 4 & (
" #
+ & # # & - % # 0&
& > & 8 & -
& & ( C - && -
& ( 3 n% & 2% & & # # 0 # 0
B # B' - # n% a = (a1, ..., an), b = (b1, ..., bn)
# j & & (F1), # &
aj k & & 2(F2), # & bk(
9 # # > 0 & N #
{F1, F2} & 0 D 0 {1,2}, 8
0 & a b( 3 # >& n & (i1, ..., in)
- ij ∈ {1,2}, j ∈N( : & n= 4 (1,1,2,1)
- & 1,2,4 F1 & 3 F2(
3 & & - & 0 & ( 32$
& & & # # > 0 & aj =jx+u, bj =
y+jz, j= 1, ..., n,- x, u, y, z ( 3 2
# # $ & & * & 7
/ & 0 $P N E* & C $ <!*(
+ & & # %SD* 2% 0 # -
# B & B ' 0& 7
/ & 0 $N E*( 9 SD , & $P D*(
SD, (#( 0 & : . # ( &
0 0 $ ?*( 9 && - # -
& & 0 - SD, 2% & & # # (
& E SD $& *2% & & # # (
@ 3 SD 0 a, b, c, d #
0 : #
A B
A a, a b, d B d, b c, c .
9 #
F1 F2
7 ( A B
1 b d
2 a c
( (1)
.
E: & ' 3 P D # 0 0 ≤ b < c < a < d( ;
2% & & # # A B B $C* B
B B $D*( ; B : B # # ' # F1
# F2.
9 @ & (
& " E 2% 2% & & # # 0
2% 0 # (
@ ; # # (1) & -
F1 F2 # # 0 8
F1 F2 F1 a, a b, d F2 d, b c, c . .
9 - P D - 0
$" 0 # <!* && - #'
P1E & # $D*
P2$D, D* & 7 / & 0 (N E).
9 - # & 4 P D n & & $ *(
9 / # & 4 P1 P2.
!
&& - # " 0 # $ <!* - > B , B C(k), k =
1, ..., n - 8 C% k
B , B D(k), k = 0,1, ..., n−1 - #
8 D% # k C% ( C(0) D(n)
> ( C
(Q1)C(k)< D(k−1), k= 1, ..., n−1, (Q2)C(n)> D(0).
3 Q1, Q2 P1 P2
n% ( Q1 #& & > 0& &
- ( Q2 . &&
0& && (
3 # & , , 0
0& > & n% P D, ( ; #
0 : & & 2% & # # (
# - - & #
& & & ( 9 # &&
# & ( 3 n% P D 0
n & & & & 2×2 P D # - &&
& / . n−1#
& #(
n% P D # : & 0 : ( 3
# & " 0 # $ <!* & $ * +4 4.
+4 & # $2 2* +4 & # $2 !*( + CE & SW
0 & && #P D
0 N E( 9 8 - # & 4 & (
C > & 0 & & & / & 0 $CE* 3 %
$ <?* - . $ * & / & 0 %W CE* 5 & A &
$ < * & / & 0 $SCE* #1 $2 * 0 %#
0 ( . / & 0
0 # - - & & # >& 0
& . - 0 0 & 0 ( ; CE
& # - && # 0 & - %
( 9 & -
# ( 9 0 0 & 0 CE &
# & # : 8 0 # %
0 & & ( W CE &
& && - 0& & ( ;
# ( E/ & 0 > -
CE' & 0 > # 0 & (
SCE & W CE : - # %
& && - # - & 0 %
( 3# / & 0 & &
> 0& : 8(
3 - #1 $2 * W CE SCE # & 4 CE 0
(
3 & # & 4
?
& - & $SW) - & # - &
# - # & - && 0&
0& - ( + - - && 0 - SCE &
P D # : 2% & & # # -
SCE 8 : #1 $2 ?*(
C . B & 0B - & 0 -
& ( 9 # & 0 ( E - . &
# & . - 0 0 & 0 # #
& 0 & ( @ 0 .
# # & 0 ( ( .
# 0 & ( & & &
& 0 # & $ & * - &
& $ > &
& & & - 0 # 4 *( ; SCE 0 0
0 & # # &
&& (
; #1 $2 * 0 # W CE =CE.9
SD# & SCE $ &&* SW( # 3 & #
& $2 * - - && 0 & & &
SCE 0 - SW 0 N E
- & 0 & $ &* : SW &
# $ & n% P D, : & & 2% &
# # * - # ( - &
$M V* & $EV*(
F G∈ Γ 0 # & > # P(G) 0 %
0 & 0 # >& G M(G) 0 0 &
0 # 0 : 7 / & 0 S(G) SCE, (
F SW(p)0 & - & $ : & & *
0 0 & 0 p( > & SCE G
M V(G) = maxp∈S(G)SW(p) maxp∈M(G)SW(p)
&
EV(G) = maxp∈P(G)SW(p) maxp∈S(G)SW(p).
9 & M V & EV SCE
& # Γ >
MV = sup
G∈Γ
M V(G), EV = sup
G∈Γ
EV(G).
; - # MV B0 B - & EV B- B
( M V 0 0& & ∞ EV 0 0& &
1(
G
; #1 $2 ?* M V EV + E n% & 2% & & %
# & # # - (
9 4 : 0&
7 0 & M V M V P EV
2 ∞ ∞ 1
3 43 43 1
4 ? ≥43 1.007478...
... ... ... ...
n ? ≥4(nn−1) ≤ 43
9 & MV P - > M V &
NE, ( 9 . && '
& 0& 0 0& n% & 2% & : &
& # # & P D# (
' ( ) * ) ) +
)
# n% & 2% & & : &
# #
F1 =C F2 =D a1= 0 b1=y+ (n−1)z a2=x b2=y+ (n−2)z a3= 2x b3=y+ (n−3)z
... ...
an= (n−1)x bn =y .
- x, y, z >0( ; , ,
0 0& .
F1 =C F2 =D
C(1) = 0 D(n−1) =y+ (n−1)z C(2) =x D(n−2) =y+ (n−2)z C(3) = 2x D(n−3) =y+ (n−3)z
... ...
C(n) = (n−1)x D(0) =y
.
+ - - && P D# & 0 #
C D$ * - &&( # 8
0 #
> 0& 0 ( ; #
# & & - & >: 0. 5 # &
- & & P D, 0 & 2% & & : &
# # - 0 # ( ; & 0 .
6
& : & # # - bn < a1$ (#( .
# n= 2* 0 - - && (
F t 0 & & # D t = 0,1, ..., n. 9
# SCE $ #1 2 ?*
(−y+ (n−1)(x−z))q0+1 n
n−1
t=1
(ty−t(n−t)(x−z)+
(n−t)((n−t−1)(x−z)−y))qt+yqn≥0. (2)
9 . > 0& : 8
0 $ # *(
@ 0 0 & 0 # 1
n
t=0
qt = 1, (3)
qt ≥ 0, t= 0,1, ..., n.
C - : 4 SW - & , : 8
SW =n(n−1)xq0+
n−1
t=1
(t(y+ (n−t)z)+ (n−t−1)(n−t)x)qt+nyqn ( (4)
; # n% P D Q1 Q2
0 > ( ; t & & D n−t & C( Q1 at+1≤bn−t
t= 1, ..., n−1 &
y+tz > tx, t= 1, ..., n( (5)
3&& / & & 0 #& / &
y+ (n−1)z >(n−1)x. (6)
9 . # Q2 - # C(n) = (n−1)x > D(0) =y( +
2% & & : & # # n% P D
x, y, z 0< 1
n−1y < x < 1
n−1y+z n≥2. (7)
#M V / & n≥2.; 0
0& (
& ' n% P D & MV =∞.
<
@ 9 . & x= 1, y=ε, z= 1 ε >0( 9 q0=qn =
1
2, qi= 0, i= 1, ..., n−1 SCE & 0 > 0 0 #
(2). 3& x, y, z (7) && n ≥ 2( 9 SW n% P D
- 0 0 0 # (4) 0
1
2n(n−1) +12nε( 9 & N E n% P D - && &
SW nε( 9 MV
1
2n(n−1) +12nε nε
- # ∞ ε→0(
+ P D 2% & & : & # # && -
@ G MV =∞ - & # - &&( 7 -
- # EV & 2% & & : &
# # (
& , 2% & & : & # # %
& EV ≤2(
@ ( > & 0 t∈[0, n] / W 0
W(t) =
n
t=0
(t(y+ (n−t)z) + (n−t−1)(n−t)x). (8)
9 : W∗ W(t) [0, n] 0 0 & : %
SW - # [0, n]( 9 H
/ (8) x−z( # # x−z - #
- (
( x≥z( ;
W∗= max{W(0), W(n)}= ny x≤n−11y n(n−1)x n−11y < x .
9 0 0 & qt= 0, t= 0,1, ..., n−1, qn = 1 &- SCE
y >0 - && EV = 1 W∗=ny( -
0 - W∗=n(n−1)x.9 0 0 & q0=qn= 12, qt= 0, t=
0, n & 0 SCE0 0 # (2) # #
1
2(−y+ (n−1)(x−z)) +1
2y= (n−1)(x−z)≥0(
9 SW SCE
1
2n(n−1)x+1 2ny(
9 - #
EV ≤ n(n−1)x
1
2n(n−1)x+12ny <2(
2( x < z( 3 > n ( 3 SCE 0 0 0
# 0 0 & q = 1, qi= 0, i=n2.9 > (2)0
n 2y−n
2(n−n
2)(x−z)+(n−n
2)((n−n
2−1)(x−z)−y) = n
2(z−x)>0( (9)
9 SW 0 & # # SCE
W(n 2) =n
2(y+n 2z) +n
2(n
2−1)x) = n 2(y+n
2z+n 2x−x)(
; / W(t) 0 & : %
r= y+nz2(z−(2n−x)−1)x( ; r > n = - EV = 1(
; r <0 W(0)> W(t) &&t∈[0, n] -
EV ≤ W(0)
W(n2) = n(n−1)x
n
2(y+n2z+n2x−x)= 4 (n−1)x
2y+nz+ (n−2)x = 4 (n−1)x
2y+nz+ (n−2)x<2(
- & & z > x(
- r∈(0, n)( C & H qt (2)
n
2 ≤t ≤n( 9 0 t
0& H qt / t
H x−z / # ( 9 H y qn
0 H q 0 (9)( 9
& & && 0 0& #
& (
9 : r W && &
[n2, n], # : t∗$0 # # 0 # #
r*( 9 H qt∗ 0 # qt∗ = 1, qt = 0, t =t∗ SCE
EV = 1. 9 - & - 0≤ r < n2( 9
: 0 0 0
W∗=W(r) =n(n−1)x+r2(z−x)< n(n−1)x+n2 4(z−x) 0 r < n2 z−x >0( EV -
EV < W∗
W(n2) = n(n−1)x+n4 (z−x)
n
2(y+n2z+n2x−x) =4(n−1)x+n(z−x) 2y+nz+ (n−2)x <2(
7 - - - n n≥3( C &
H qt / & (2) n+12 ≤t ≤n
# : t∗ W && & EV = 1( 9
# & - - 0 ≤r < n+12 ( SCE = q − =12, q = 12, qi= 0, i= n−21,n+12 .9 SW SCE
W = 1
2W(n−1 2 ) +1
2W(n+ 1 2 ) = 1
2(n−1
2 (y+n+ 1
2 z) +n−1 2
n+ 1
2 x+n+ 1
2 (y+n−1
2 z) +n−1 2
n−3 2 x).
9 -
EV ≤ n(n−1)x+r2(z−x)
1
2W(n−21) +12W(n+12 ) ≤
n(n−1)x+(n+1)4 (z−x)
1
2(n−21(y+n+12 z) +n−21n+12 x+n+12 (y+n−21z) +n−21n−23x).
3 & & # 0 4 & #
- #
EV ≤ 4n(n−1)x+ (n+ 1)2(z−x)
(n−1)(n+ 1)z+ (n−1)(n+1)2 x+(n−1)(n2 −3)x.
C - & & . 2( 9
&& - # / & &
4n(n−1)x+ (n+ 1)2z−(n+ 1)2x≤2(n2−1)z+ 2(n−1)2x.
# # - #
(n−3)(n+ 1)x≤(n−3)(n+ 1)z
- 0 & & 0 x < z( 9 - 2% &
& : & # # EV ≤2(
# 0 & P D # 0
0 0 # EV( 3 0 & & P D,
- x = z( # - & , = # &
: # #
- 0 > ( 9 # && B 0& B
: 0 # : & " 0 # $ <!*(
& - n% 0& P D & EV =
2.
@ ; @ ? - & 2% & & :
& # # EV ≤ 2 x ≥ z $ * & x = z(
9 & / - ' 0 # I n%
0& P D - x= 1, y =ε, z = 1. 9
(7) ε && # ( 0 # (2) (3) - #
&& - #LP - & SW : 4 #SCE:
maxn(n−1)q0+
n−1
t=1
(tε+ (n−1)(n−t))qt+nεqn.
0= nq0−
n−1
t=1
(n−2t)qt−nqn ≤ 0,
q0, q1, ..., qn ≥ 0, q0+q1+, ...,+qn= 1.
3 n ( 9 q = 1, qj = 0, j = n2 0& &
u = 12(n−1)− ε2, v = n2(n−1) + n2ε 0& & & -
0= & n2(n−1) +n2ε( 9 0 & : SW
n(n−1).9 EV
n(n−1)
n
2(n−1) + n2ε = 2 n−1 n−1 +ε
- # 2 ε→0(
9 & n & ( ; - 0&
& q − = 12, q =12, qj = 0, j=n−21,n+12 .
2% & & : & # # %
& EV = 2.
" n% P D & EV = 2.
; - - -n% , & # 0
2% & & : & # # ( 9
& / & 0 @ % #
7 ( 9 & - ∞ &
- 0 2 n( 9 & & 2 0&
n% , & # ( & & #
# & 4 n & & 0 0
& (
. 9 # 9J3 22? # %
&& . -& # ( .
/ )
3 & # ; 5 9 &4 5 $2 * & & % ( K & 3 > & ; && # !!'G<G%6
3 K $ <?* + 0= & 4 # (
K & 5 & E '6<% 6
& K C $ * ; 7% & , & # @ & %
& + G!' ? %? G
#1 $2 * 3 # & 4 & / & 0 ' 3 - &(
5 & + & + 6 ' 6%
#1 $2 ?* 5 # - & / & 0 2%
& & % # & # # & E K %
& 22 $ *' ! % 6G
" 0 # " $ <!* 7% , & ( K & 5 &
+ & # !' 2<%?
5 & " A & K%@ $ < * + # && 4 % # ' &
# - & & : / & 0 0 ( ; %
& K & L 9 <'2 %22
0 5 K 0 3 $ 6* 3 # ( 9 5;9
@ 0 # 53
& C $ <!* 3 & # # % # 7 / %
& 0 ( ; & K & L 9 2'6G%6<
+4 & # 5 7 $2 !* 3 # 7% , & %
& : ?' GG% <?
+4 4. +4 & # 5 7 $2 2* 3 3 & & + 7%
@ @ , & + - K & @ 3 & 5 %
$ & & * 2'22%!
2