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Construction of traditional VSSI X chart

3.2 Risk-based multivariate control chart

3.3.2 Construction of traditional VSSI X chart

As a next step, the "traditional" VSSI X chart (In this context, "traditional" means that the chart does not consider the effect of measurement errors.) can be designed using simulated data from step 1. Upper and lower warning limits (UWL and LWL) can be calculated based on Equation (3.29) and similarly, Equation (3.30) can be used to compute the control limits of the control chart (UCL, LCL). Then, switching rules between (n1,h1) and (n2,h2) can be used based on the consideration of warning- and control lines.

As output of step 2, "traditional" VSSI Xcharts are designed for real and mea-sured values as well. Decision outcomes can be interpreted by comparing the loca-tion ofxiandyisample means related to the warning- and control limits.

3.3.3 Decision outcomes and decision costs

Four type of decision outcomes could be defined in case of conformity control and T2chart (See Table 3.2.3). When using adaptive control chart, the number of deci-sion outcomes can be extended due to the existence of warning limits that brings additional aspects to the structure of decision outcomes as it is shown by Table3.3:

TABLE3.3: Decision outcomes when using VSSIXchart Detected product characteristic

In Table3.3, terms "in(CL)" and "out(CL)" denote the in-control and out-of-control statements based on the control line(s), and "in(WL)" and "out(WL)" represent the sample location relative to the warning limits. In addition, xi is the real sample mean, andyi is the detected (measured) mean related to theith sampling. I1,I2 and I3 denote the regions based on Equations (3.29), (3.30) and (3.31). Some combina-tion cannot be interpreted i.e. if yi falls within the out-of-control region based on

ing limit. Similarly, ifxi > UCL orxi < LCL (process if out-of control based on the control lines), then LWL <xi < UWL statement cannot be true. These cases are rep-resented by gray-colored cells in the table. Detailed explanation of each (9) case is also provided in the following:

• Case 1: Both the detected and the real sample mean fall within the central region. The decision is a correct acceptance.

• Case 2: The detected sample mean is in the warning region but the real sample mean is in the central region. In this case, the sample size is increased and the sampling interval is reduced. However, these changes are unnecessary, and the decision is incorrect.

• Case 3: The process is out-of-control based onyi, butxifalls within the central region. The expected value of the process is in-control, but a shift is detected incorrectly. Therefore, an unnecessary corrective action is taken (type I. error).

• Case 4:xiis within warning region (out-of-control based on the warning limit) but an in-control statement is detected. In this case, the sample size should be increased and the sampling interval should be reduced; however, this action is not taken. This failure reduces the performance of the control chart because it delays the time for detection and correction.

• Case 5: Both the detected and real sample mean fall within the warning re-gion. Sample size is increased, sampling interval is reduced as part of a correct decision.

• Case 6: Out-of-control state is detected; however, thexifalls within the warn-ing region. Corrective action is taken, but switch between the chart parameter sets (n,h) would be enough. The decision is incorrect.

• Case 7: In-control state is detected and yi is located in the central region how-ever, the process is out-of-control. The decision is incorrect, and corrective action is not taken (type II. error).

• Case 8: Similar to Case 7, but yi is in the warning region. Therefore, this case is more advantageous compared to Case 7 because a strict control policy is applied and therefore, shorter time is needed to detect process shift.

• Case 9: The process is out-of-control based on real and detected sample means;

therefore, the decision is correct.

For better clarification, Figure3.2illustrates the nine decision outcomes described above.

Case number

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8 #9

Measured characteristic

real value(x) detected value(y)

UCL UWL CL LWL LCL

FIGURE3.2: Demonstration of the nine decision outcomes on a con-trol chart

Structure of the decision costs

In the followings I introduce the cost structure of each decision outcome. Each decision cost consists of several elements therefore, I collected those parameters that are used during the specification of the decision costs (Table3.4).

TABLE3.4: Elements of the cost of decision outcomes Symbol Name

n sample size

Nh produced quantity in the considered interval (h) cp production cost

cm f fixed cost of measurement cmp proportional cost of measurement cq cost of qualification

cs cost of switching

d1 weight parameter for switching ci cost of intervention

d2 weight parameter for intervention crc cost of root cause search

cid cost of delayed intervention cf cost of false alarm identification cmi cost of missed intervention cr cost of restart

cma maintenance cost

Table3.4shows the specified cost components in the cost structure. The follow-ing costs are involved in each decision:

• expected total production cost

• cost of measuring

cp denotes the proportional production cost and Nh is the expected number of manufactured products in h(where h denotes the time interval between two sam-ples). Therefore, the expected total production cost can be estimated as Nhcp. The cost of measurement consists of two parts, fixed cost (cm f) and proportional cost (cmp) depending on sample size (n). The fixed measurement cost (e.g., labor, light-ing, operational cost of the measurement device) occurs in every measurement irre-spective ofn.cmpis the expected measurement cost related to a sample that strongly depends on sample size (this is especially significant for destructive measurement processes). Thus, the expected total measurement cost can be estimated as:

total measurement cost=ncmp+cm f (3.32) In addition, the cost of qualification cq must be considered (charting, plotting, labor) as well. Accordingly, sinceNhcp+ncmp+cm f +cqis part of each cost compo-nent, ac0constant is applied as simplification:

Nhcp+ncmp+cm f +cq=c0 (3.33) Some cost components occur in special cases only. The cost of switchingcsis the cost associated with modification of the VSSI chart parameters (n,h).ci denotes the cost of intervention, including the cost of stoppage and root cause search (crc). If the root cause cannot be identified, it means that probably false alarm occurred. In this case, there is no maintenance cost (cma) however, cost of false alarm identification (cf) needs to be considered. On the other hand, when a root cause is found, the machine must be maintained (e.g., cost of the replaced parts, labor cost).

The weighting parameters (d1,d2) must also be specified. Some cases (e.g. Case 2 and Case 5) are similar but have different estimated costs. This difference comes from the necessity of the decision. For example, in Cases 2 and 5, yi is located in the warning region but the parameter switch (n1ton2andn1 toh2) is necessary in Case 2 and unnecessary in Case 5. In similar cases, the unnecessary decision must be multiplied by the weighting parameter in order to penalize surplus modifications during control. Therefore,d1is the weighting parameter for the cost of unnecessary switching, andd2is the weighting parameter for unnecessary intervention. Table3.4 includes the forms of the decision costs assigned to the decision outcomes.

TABLE3.5: Structure of the decision costs (VSSI control chart)

Case Structure Simplified form

#1 C1=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq C1=c0

#2 C2=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq+d1cs C2=c0+d1cs

#3 C3=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq+d2ci C3=c0+d2ci

#4 C4=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq+cid C4=c0+cid

#5 C5=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq+cs C5=c0+cs

#6 C6=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq+d2ci C6=c0+d2ci

#7 C7=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq+cmi C7=c0+cmi

#8 C8=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq+d3cmi C8=c0+cmi

#9 C9=Nhcp+ncmp+cm f+cq+cma+cr C9=c0+cr

During the control process, the appropriate decision cost must be assigned to each sampling point. The assigned costs must be further aggregated to determine the total decision cost:

TC=q1c0+q2(c0+d1cs) +q3(c0+d2ci)+

+q4(c0+cid) +q5(c0+cs) +q6(c0+d2ci)+

+q7(c0+cmi) +q8(c0+d3cmi) +q9(c0+cma+cr)