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Andrea Crisán

“If wealth does not go where people are, people naturally go where wealth is.”

(Alfred Sauvy)

Introduction

The purpose of the study is to provide a deeper analysis of the migration patterns of the North African region (especially Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia) and an overview about the key factors behind the contemporary migration flows. In particular, it seeks to:

• examine the principal factors determining the decision of North African citizens to leave their country (push factors)

• examine the factors which affect their choice of destination country (pull factors)

• describe supporting elements and additional factors to migration

• show the migration profile of North African citizens emigrated

I analyse the recent migration histories of North African countries and show how they are related to underlying political and economic factors. It is important to relate current migra-tion patterns to historical trends by analysing continuities and discontinuities.

Making predictions about future migration trends is difficult both in the start-and-mid-term level and relatively unreliable, as well: most influential factors are well-known and stable, whereas many other assumptions remain speculative in the respective countries concerning economic, political and social development. This is especially true for countries that experience profound transformational processes or even political crises, such as several countries in North Africa.

This complex situation needs elaborated analytical approach and should take into consideration the fact that simplification or oversimplification of the migration movement is a mistake. We should never forget the migrants’ life stories and personal circumstances;

however, this study aims to summarize the general push and pull factors behind migration patterns, as well.