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AGRICULTURAL PRICES

AND MARKETS

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AGRICULTURAL PRICES AND MARKETS

Sponsored by a Grant TÁMOP-4.1.2-08/2/A/KMR-2009-0041 Course Material Developed by Department of Economics,

Faculty of Social Sciences, Eötvös Loránd University Budapest (ELTE) Department of Economics, Eötvös Loránd University Budapest

Institute of Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences Balassi Kiadó, Budapest

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AGRICULTURAL PRICES AND MARKETS

Author: Imre Fertő

Supervised by Imre Fertő June 2011

ELTE Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economics

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AGRICULTURAL PRICES AND MARKETS

Week 4

Market and market structure

Imre Fertő

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Literature

• Tomek, W. G.–Robinson, K. (2003):

Agricultural Product Prices. Cornell University Press, Chapter 5

• Bukeviciute, L.–Dierx, A.–Ilzkovi, F.

(2009): The functioning of the food supply

chain and its effect on food prices in the

European Union. European Economy,

Occasional Papers 47| May 2009

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Market and market structure

• Definitions of market – Qualitative approach – Quantitative approach

• Market structure

• Measuring market concentration

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Definition of market

“My lament is that this battle of market definitions, which is fought thousands of times what with all the private antitrust suits, has received virtually no attention from us economists. Except for a casual flirtation with cross elasticities of demand and supply, the determination of markets has remained an undeveloped area of economic research at either the theoretical or empirical level.”

George J. Stigler (1982)

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The purpose of the market definition

“Market definition is not an end in itself but a key step in identifying the competitive constraints acting on a supplier of a given product or service. Market definition provides a framework for competition analysis. For example, market shares can be calculated only after the market has been defined and, when considering the potential for new entry, it is necessary to identify the market that might be entered. Market definition is usually the first step in the assessment of market power.”

Office of Fair Trading 2004

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Definition of market

• Two conceptions

– Economic market

• “the entire territory of which parts are so united by the relations of unrestricted commerce that prices there

take the same level throughout, with ease and rapidity.”

Cournot

• Focus on the factors determining the equilibrium prices – The concept of an antitrust market

• The boundaries of an antitrust market are determined

• by the hypothetical monopolist test: Small and Significant Nontransitory Increase in Prices (SSNIP)

• Emphasis on the identification of market power

• A market definition should normally contain two dimensions: a product and geographic area

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Definition of market

• European Commission:

– The relevant product market comprises all those product and/or services which as regarded as

interchangeable or substitute by the consumers by reasons of product characteristics, their prices and their intended use

– The relevant geographic market comprises the area in which the undertakings concerned are

involved in the supply and demand of products or services, in which conditions of competition are sufficiently homogeneous which can be

distinguished from neighbouring areas because the

conditions of competitions are appreciably different

in those areas

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Definition of market

• Qualitative approach

– Products are the same market and they are close substitutes

• Similar product attributes – production

• Similar use – consumption

• Selling products on the same market – geographical dimension

– Geographically different markets

• Selling products on the different markets

• Transportation of products is costly from one place to other

• Transportation of consumers is costly from one place to other

– Difficulties

• Definition of substitutes based on the product attributes

• Identification of the degree of substitutes

• To assess the importance of transport costs

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Definition of market

• Quantitative approach

– Demand price elasticities

• Large own price elasticity – large number of substitutes – But we can not identify the substitutes

• Positive cross price elasticities – substitutes – Residual demand analysis

• How does competitors supply affect on the demand – Price correlation (Stigler-Sherwin, 1985)

• Two sellers are the same market, if their demand are influenced by the same factors

• High correlation between prices of two markets implies that they are substitutes

• Problems:

– How can we define the R square

– Stationary and non stationary nature of time series data

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Definition of market

• Quantitative approach

– Elzinga–Hogarty test (1973) defined geographic boundaries on the basis of shipment flows

– They defined two measures of a region’s openness

• LIFO (little from outside) =Local Consumption from Local Supply/Local Consumption

• LOFI (little from inside) =Local Consumption from Local Supply/Local Production

– a region is a geographic market if both

measures are above 0,70 or if the average of

the two is above 0,90

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Definition of market

• Other approaches

– Industrial or trade statistics

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Market structure

• Conditions of market structures:

– Number of buyers and sellers

– Size distribution of buyers and sellers – Degree of product differentiations

– Opportunities to enter or exit from the

market

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Types of market

• Based on the number of sellers

– Perfect competition. e.g. many agricultural commodities

– Monopol, e.g. Microsoft?

– Oligopol, e.g. Dupont, Monsanto, Pioneer – Monopolistic competition, e.g. frozen

vegetables

• Based on the number of buyers

– Monopson, e.g. marketing boards – Oligopson

• Others

– Bilateral monopol

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Conditions of perfect competition

• Large number of small buyers and sellers, no one of which is large enough to influence price alone

• Homogeneous goods

• No artificial barriers on supply and demand or price such as government intervention or collusion between firms

• Factors of production are perfectly mobile, there are no entry or exit barriers, no barriers to capital, labour or to management

• Additional criteria

– Perfect knowledge

– Complete divisibility of product – Perfect mobility within the market

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Measuring of market concentration

• Based on market share

– Concentration ratio (CR):

• E.g. the largest 4, 8, 10, etc. firms’ share on the particular market

– Herfindahl–Hirschman-index:

• HH=Σs

i2

,where s

i

the share of a given firm

– Measurements borrowing from the literature on the inquality

• Gini coefficients

• Lorenz curve

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Requirements for concentration measurements

• Concentration curve allows to rank firms

• Sales transfer-principle

– If a small firm transfers its sales to a large firm, then concentration will increase

• Entry condition

– If a new firm enter into the market, other firms relative weight do not change, concentration will decrease

– If a large firm enter into the market, concentration may increase

• Fusion condition

– If two or more firms merge, concentration will

increase

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Example for measuring concentration

Market share A industry B industry

1. firm 30 70

2. firm 25 10

3. firm 20 5

4. firm 15 5

5. firm 4 4

6. firm 3 3

7. firm 2 2

8. firm 1 1

CR4 90 90

HH 2180 5080

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Classification of markets based on HH intensity of price competition

Nature of competition HH index Intensity of price competition

Perfect competition HH<2000 strong

Monopolistic competition

HH<2000 Strong or weak depends on the product differentiation

Oligopol 2000<HH

<6000

Strong or weak depends on rivalries

Monopol HH>6000 Weak except entries may deter

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Conclusions

• Market definition is important in antitrust because of the operating assumption

that market share implies market power

• There are two different approaches to defining markets: antitrust markets and economic markets

• Both types of markets have a product

dimension and a geographic dimension

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Conclusions

• Product and geographical dimensions of the markets

• Measuring market structure is difficult task

– There is no unique solution

• Concerns raised by concentration

along food chains

Hivatkozások

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– grades: classification of products regarding to quality standards. •