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Regional growth, indices of sustainability and social progress

Judit Gébert

PhD Student

University of Szeged

Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Doctoral School of Economics HUNGARY

26.04.2013. Szeged,

REGIONAL GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND COMPETITIVENESS

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Content of the presentation

•Introduction

•The problem and research questions

•Applied methods and results

•Conclusions

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The problem

• Debate in the literature about well-being

– Real income (GDP per capita)?

• Against: too narrow informational base

– Alternative indices, from several dimensions?

• Against: too complicate, arbitrariness

– Subjective well-being (SWB), satisfaction?

• Too subjective, depends on cultural differences

(4)

Used indicators

• GDP per capita

• Human Development Index (HDI)

– Health

– Education – Real income

• Ecological Footprint (EF)

– Consumption

• Sustainable Society Index (SSI) and sub-dimensions

• Satisfaction (SWB)

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Research questions

What kind of relationship is between GDP, the alternative indecies and SWB?

Is there a relationship between the state of the environment and performance of the economy?

Can we verify "common sense" statements about well- being, like:

- Does money/high consumption make you satisfied?

- Does the state of the environment influence perception of well-being?

...

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1. Relationship between GDP and SWB

lgGDP SWB

Spearman's rho lgGDP Correlation Coefficient

1,000 ,461**

Sig. (2-tailed) . ,000

N 141 141

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

1. Correlation

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2. Crosstabulation

The 94.1 percent of countries with high income is at least

moderately satisfied with its well-being (moderately satisfied 52.9%, satisfied 41.2%).

In the cases of low income countries the situation is reverse: 86 percent of these countries are unsatisfied or less satisfied.

Although the preconditions of Chi-square test are not satisfied

(Table 12): 43.8% of cells have expected count less than 5,

therefore the related null-hypothesis can be not rejected, still

the high Chi-square value implies relationship.

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2. Relationship between GDP and alternative indicators

lgGDP HDI EF

Spearman's rho lgGDP Correlation Coefficient

1,000 .585** .479**

Sig. (2-tailed) . .000 .000

N 141 141 141

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

1. Correlation

lgGDP Well-

Balanced of Society

Healthy Environment

Climate and Energy Spearman's rho lgGDP Correlation

Coefficient

1,000 ,488** ,380** -,517**

Sig. (2-tailed) . ,000 ,000 ,000

N 141 141 141 141

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

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2. Relationship between GDP and alternative indicators

lgGDP Natural Resources

Preparation for the Future

SSI

Spearman's rho lgGDP Correlation Coefficient

1.000 .088 ,010 ,500**

Sig. (2-tailed) . ,300 ,902 ,000

N 141 141 141 141

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

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3. Relationship between SWB and alternative indicators

SWB HDI EF

Spearman's rho SWB Correlation Coefficient

1,000 ,767** ,680**

Sig. (2-tailed) . ,000 ,000

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

Control Variables SWB HDI

lgGDP SWB Correlation 1,000 ,670

Significance (2- tailed)

. ,000

df 0 138

Correlation and partial correlation

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Well- Balanced

Society

Healthy Environme

nt

Climate and Energy

Natural Resources

Preparat ion for the Future

SSI

Spearman's rho SWB

Correlation Coefficient

,449** ,373** -,694** ,075 -,016 ,556*

*

Sig. (2-tailed) ,000 ,000 ,000 ,380 ,854 ,000

N 141 141 141 141 141 141

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4. The structure of the indices

Initial Extraction

EF 1,000 ,493

SWB 1,000 ,662

Well-Balanced Society 1,000 ,740 Preparation for the

Future

1,000 ,947

Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis.

Communalities

Component

1 2 3

EF ,683 ,111 ,117

SWB ,810 ,063 -,034

Well-Balanced Society

,736 ,309 ,322

Preparation for the Future

-,008 ,022 ,973

Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis.

Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization.

a. Rotation converged in 4 iterations.

Components

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Conclusions

• relationship between GDP and the alternative indices

• other relationships are confirmed by the partial correlation and the factor analysis

• the correlation values are higher between the satisfaction and the alternative indices than between GDP and SWB

• relationship between the indicators confirms

some the common conjecture in ecological

economics

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Thank you for your attention!

E-mail: gebert.judit@eco.u-szeged.hu

The presentation is supported by the European Union and co-funded by the European

Social Fund. Project title: “Broadening the knowledge base and supporting the long

term professional sustainability of the Research University Centre of Excellence at the

University of Szeged by ensuring the rising generation of excellent scientists.” Project

number: TÁMOP-4.2.2/B-10/1-2010-0012

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